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You should wait until you have an actual need for a server before you get one. As Omni said, it's a lot more trouble than it's worth most of the time, and if you don't need it you can save money by not getting one.
Performance loss going to a VPS is a given. But, the reason they are there is for people that aren't quite ready for a dedi, but, have outgrown shared servers. Generally if your forum isn't running 40 active members AT THE SAME TIME you will have no reason to leave shared hosting.
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Thought i would update this thread for the hell of it. Bored really. Not much going on currently.
Well i ended up using largely Omni's advice and used hostgator. But instead of a VPS or Dedi i went Reseller.
Transfer of data from My connection to the server is shocking. I could honestly not backup the entire contents of the server to my pc. Too big and the server over FTP is too slow. Prob because of some factors i am unaware of.
But other than that i must admit its been a bloody good service.
Seriously guys. I hate the speed. I really do. But i have to factor in that i am in Australia but still!!
But the service is exceptional. Quality unit. Thankyou Omni. Really mate. Great advice for someone like me.
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I'm running with a couple HG shared account right now, about to move over to a reseller as well. It's nice, they have their own separate cPanels for that incase they outgrow the shared environment, you can just move them over to a VPS/Dedi.
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I thought a dedicated server costs about $100-5K.